Belgium

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Belgium

Economic Perspectives for Belgium

Economic forecasts August 2025

National accounts (real yearly change, in %)

              2024 2025 2026
Private consumption 2.0 2.4 1.3
Public consumption 2.6 0.8 0.5
Investment in fixed capital 1.4 1.2 3.0
Corporate investment 1.8 2.5 2.8
Public investment 9.8 4.3 6.1
Residential building investment -4.8 -5.5 1.5
Final domestic demand (excl. changes in inventories) 2.0 1.7 1.5
Change in inventories (contribution to growth) -0.9 -0.3 0.0
Exports of goods and services -3.4 -2.5 -1.4
Imports of goods and services -3.5 -1.9 -0.5
       
Gross domestic product (GDP) 1.0 0.8 0.8
       
Household disposable income 1.8 1.3 1.2
Household savings rate (% of disposable income) 13.0 12.1 11.9
                4/8/2025

Equilibrium indicators 

              2024 2025 2026
Inflation (average yearly change, in %)      
Consumer prices (harmonised CPI) 4.3 2.9 1.8
Health index (national CPI) 3.3 2.7 1.8
       
Labour market      
Domestic employment (yearly change, in '000, year end) 17.2 15.3 25.0
Unemployment rate (in % of labour force, end of year, Eurostat definition) 6.0 6.6 6.4
       
Public finances (in % of GDP, on unchanged policy)      
Overall balance -4.5 -5.3 -5.5
Public debt 104.7 106.8 110.1
       
Current account balance (in % of GDP) -0.9 -1.1 -1.3
       
House prices (average yearly change in %, existing and new dwellings, Eurostat definition) 3.2 3.0 3.0
                4/8/2025

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